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Zombie Attack Strength

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Please see: http://dl.dropbox.com/u/11690/HordeSizeAnalysis.pdf for an analysis of the horde attack size and range. For the word/math impaired, scroll to table 2. The analysis done for this report has a huge advantage over the data reported via LSM regression and other Excel/Minitab methods. We were able to obtain a linear transformation of the data with a constant variance under our analysis. Not only does regression on linear data provide a better fit with more robust outcomes, it also allows us to determine variance and, by extension, TL (a range in which 95% of attacks will fall).

Also, our analysis suggests a possible cyclic pattern on days seperated by an interval of 4(c) where c is any non-zero postive whole number. This may mean that the spikes and lulls experinced by towns ARE NOT random and ARE predictable given enough data and analysis. I am looking into doing further time series analysis on this dataset, however, it will be some time before I complete it. -Iacobus

List the strength of actual attacks in order to gather empirical data.

These data have been compiled into a zombie attack projections and LSM regression line graph:

Projections as of 16/12/2010

TIP: You can open Gazette and look at the history. At the start of each day the first line will describe the attack for the previous day.

'An "X" indicates that that was the day the town died.
'
A * behind the town name indicates it's a distant town(100+ soul points)

A - is unrecorded

Day Number is the day preceding the attack - the attack size appears in the following day's Gazette. E.g. Day 8's attack will appear in Day 9's Gazette.

Town Name Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7 Day 8 Day 9 Day 10 Day 11 Day 12 Day 13 Day 14 Day 15 Day16 Day17 Day18 Day19 Day20 Day21 Day22 Day23 Day24 Day25 Day26
Refuge of Ghouls 29 - - - - - 416 651 - 901 1282 1097
*Fossilized Gang of Evil 22 44 122 131 183 254 452 568 589 780 979 901 915 1128 1479 1643 1568 1922 2419 2413 2686 3233-3488 2925-3150
Backward Hope of the Hairy Snake* 27 126 83 109 205 330 353 538 567 838 789 1027 1153 1500 1366 1583 1951 1786 2331 1966 2503 3825 X 2875-3075
Tombs of Madness 25 45 78 211 194 251 364
Hotel of Aching Stomachs 24 54 139 164 144 303 409 481 834 686 X
Gigantic athenaeum of miracles (12-12-10) 29 97 81 131 180 322 348 464 529
Perverted marina 29 77
Muddy Hillside of Dread 22 44 116
The Port of Temptation 26 82 86 209 200 416 314 599
The Lighthouse of Lost Hope 29 74 72 160 212
Broken Den of Shadows 26 27 107 159 242 242 383 480 613 611 X
Pale Caverns of Birds 24 58 65 92 237 273 344 501 589 739 927
Pits of Hunger 25 84 86 173 160 450
Somber Village 21 46 80 150 231 217 408 460 625 X
The Plaine of the Damned 22 26 124 126 229 240 290 455-505
The Gangrenous Basements 22 25 80 158 300 X
Macabre pueblo 22 39 57 148 236 316 384 447 801
Crimson Centre of Dreams 25 72 119 99 217 296 426 493 468 821 662
Buried sanitorium of Dayan 26 44 121 227 X
Infected Junctions 23 53 90 226 172 352 405 576 597 823-852 X
The Soulful Park 21 31

97

Brutal Woods 20 42 105 136 298
Downs of the Ancient Arts 26 39 55
Cemetary of rage 29 88 73 120 185 346 282
Fierce Chamber 22 39 67 129 249 283 474
Quaint Foothills of Cyclops 28 47 127 133 256 262 460-570
Superior grave of hunger 29 55 113 123 224 387 472 473 512 685 905 817 916 1225-1420
Dusty Junction of Criminals 24 57 134 96 170 354 440 551 598 745-830
Revolting Crossroads 25 48
Itching Hill of the Crazed 27 95
Gang of Miracles 7 80 66 111 173 369 450
The Colonies without Purpose 21 48 52 160 246 270 422
The cartels without future 21 88
The Highlands Of Sadists 29 74 85 101 195 406 357 479 555 1003 796 890 902 1075 1474 1400 1550 X
The Hellish Camp of Corpses 22 55 116 172 248 339 333 503
Bloody Battlements of Anguish 33
Mysterious Lands of the Headless 28 31 71 240 157 259 437
Mountaintop Without End 22 59 80 136 275 226
Stream of the Headless 28 52 52 160 338 285 299 413 570
Sweaty theatre ? ? 69
The Chairn of Earthquakes 28 25 138 164 164 316
Morose dunes of the burned 24 35 98 121 262 300

Fossilized colonies

26

29

149

131 275
Flat roads of crime 22 39 147 124 149 270 549 461 574 718 825-1175
Land of corpses 23 65 151 228 211 266 410 540 449 642 890-1230
Sweaty Fell of Hades 26
Honorable Holes 26 42 61 162 286 290

408-439

Well of Ravens 23 90 +2 71+4 116+7 158+7 291+7 461+8 364+9 667+10 686+12 1003+12 X
Humid Corridors 25 94 110 121 171 317 370 502 585 852
The Enclave of Lepers 25 64 64
The Tombs of the Headless 26
The Mound of Autumn 28 29 68 119 266 269
Broken Desert 20
Sinister Theaters 21 49 74 214 195 318 402 725-775

Vengeful masses of dying flesh

20 37 126 131 306 222 530 381 690 804 1142 1082 995 1302 1347 1384 1961

Greenish spaces of Innocents

36 70
Throbbing Fort of Strings 27 93 66 127 153 X
Screaming Mines of Puss 26

26

111 125
The Nostalgic Hamlet 24 42 81 113
The Shadowy Fell 21 33 61 175
Battered frontier of murderers 251

Lands of 1000 Deaths

26 29 124 127 198 232 380 388 495 599 1132 802 1164 1008
Macabre Park of Dying Flesh 23 40 136 140 218 321 610 528 531 691 922 833 985-1040
Psychotic Lands 21
Menacing dunes 22 34 122 143 277 324 344 502

734

Mass of madness 23 139+9 90+12 118+13
Savage Pits of Bacteria 670 411 X
Cloudy Plantation of Maniacs 22 52 65 112 223 225 339 418

827

592 913 745 949 1061 1268 1696

Beastly structures

25 57
The Dregs of Corpses 29 49 91 214 162 230 279
Hill of Birds 23 26 61 238 258 264 361 449 647 800 868 989 1062 1340-1650
Highlands of Lost Souls 27 63 76 124
Dam Of Crime 29 39 63 158 213 ?
Steppes of Fire 20 24 176 132 210 238 465 585 587
Shaft of Tricks 21 139 94 121 198 375 401
Knoll of No Tomorrow 22
Marina of Hordes 28 39 94
Crack Mountain 25 61 88 135 349

185-305

Stormy Trench 27 57 76 138 217 291 359 636-660 475-625
Arcane Hospital 24 59 208 143 143 246 450-515
Forts of the Lost 26 40 96 X
Hope of the Raven King 24 60 150
Morbid Regions of the Headless* 23 77 76 133 163 345 368 391 542 685 675 1105 1200 1317 1531 1359 1822-1929
The Valleys of Dead Rabbits 24
Space of Satan 21 105 87

Citadelle of Bloodlust

26 47 76 102 338 296 465-555
Mounds of Knives 26 36 113 118 275 263 506 365 765 749 735 945 X
River of Corpses 22 37 87 135 234 240 508
Crooked Pits 29 84 82 109 161 300 322 426 585 950 670 1061 996 1157
Strange Pampas 22 39 81
The Flat Reservoires 28 33 140 118 244 280 410 477 472 746
Icy Cliffe of Howls 20 32 69 101 345-369
Nasty streets of the curved eel 28 40 67 114 238 332 401 422 763 688 906
The Red Precipice 25 59 106 130 181 284 307 676-715
Colosseum of Satan 26 29 116 97
Frightful hell of the beast 29 83 67 117 166 412 314 584 489 720 669 926 898
The Village of New Hope 20 43 77 X
Isolated Headland of No Evil 23 35 91 242 131 339 412 635 644 709 1019 929 1136 1030 1351 1610-1790
Paralysed crevice of earthquakes 27 78 54
Sad Tomb of the Headless 22 44 66 128 276 321 319 X
Pits of nights without end 23 88 66 145 176 362 385 372 600 692 950 X
Outdated islands without purpose 27 98 128 131 158 357 418
Strange hillside 29 108 [30th Dec]
The Noisy Desert 26 45 X
The Lands of Lightning 21 95 110 122 224 318 392 656 557

822

779-826
Dull dunes 29 57 1st Jan
Tortuous Plantation Without End 21 30 83 185 167 379 407 545 560 732 754 1067 1148 1339 1312
The Barbaric Centre 28 36 181 136 182 264 631 430 660

The Grounds of the Headless

25 31 107 182 166 264 376 475 594 600 831 1022 1104 1000
Odd wood of deathly screams 21 82 83 110 184 311 399 574 541 817 760 977
Isolated Cemetary of Temptation 28 26 106 159 377 282 334 432 604 602 X
The disturbed plaine* 22 55 99 125 295 243 306 458 662 751 647 1068 956 1263 1238 1562 2000 2176 2094 2630 2140 2560 3500 3091 3978 4145-4549
Macabre Holes * 23 85 87 154 158 414 313 436 636 818 924 867 892 1363 1380
Pampas of Eternal Rain 22 39
The Bay of Idiots 21 50 100 278 190 233 367 742 536 X

The crossroad of the beast *

26 51 150 153 208 321 485 492 595 685 772 929 932 1102 1471 1387 1719 1963 2407 2384 2725 3296-3542 X 2875-3200
Facility of Idle Thoughts * 22 34 107 109 151 227 576 419 654 619 843 878 928 1072 1647 1295 1689 2114 1826
The Empty Facility * 20 41 140 143 188 378
Thoughts of Terror 21 78 55 167 146 341 361 452 644 810-865
Soulful tomb of heartache 27 62 88 155 181 364 274 478 626 760- 830
The Bad Stream * 28 43 173 129 233 238 582 557 576 810 891
Marina of corpses 26 32 148 129 183 283 412 550 564 652 808
Crimson Colosseums 22 33 133 113 236 267 455 374 638 719 746 988 1202 1261
Yellow Ignorance * 23 45 72 187 178 330 435 597 607 648 873 991 1072 1188 1229 1553 - (5 left alive) X
Passed chasm of the beast * 22 62 150 129 209 228 451 470 548 632 749 828 1084 1290 1290 1658 2027 1654 2030
Graveyard of losers 24 38 215-280
Macabre tomb 25 24 62 170 180 229 410 473 563 X
Terrible Moors of 1000 Deaths 28 33 91 160

180-200

X

Tormented hamlet 26 76 62
The forests of beasts 25 73+5 73+9 100+10 196+12 358+13
Unbalanced Cove of Thirst * 29 80 64 170 217 368 322 428 608 836 669 836 1197 1015 1352 1788 1590 2084 2227 2284 2542
Mass of Hell * 24 42 75 103 309 245 375 408 712 764 752 1049 974 1362 X
Promenades of Animals * 20 52 162 119 222 217 517 407 735 597 815 781 960 1356 1221 1540 1771 1767 2378 2590 3004

3075-3400 X

The distressed circles 28 47 98 148 213 377 327 392 574 570 868
The Morbid Mesa * 23 44 63 174 234 276 458 539 546 686 949 864 1020-1310 X
Pathetic Dunes of the Raven King* 22 51 84 113 295 244 384 402 611 817 660 1038 1023 1083 1116 1419 1642 1997-2169 1925-2075
Strange dregs of flesh* 24 39 124 129 207 249 436 357 502 817 1034 1008 961 1096 1829 1449 1675 2038 1934 2566 2915
X
Beastly corridor of new hope* 22 40-65
Flaky Chasm of Hunger 26 53 91-97
The inflexible barracks* 21 42 58 173 191 283 493 534 628
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